Trading 技能 — Complete Reference
Purpose
Comprehensive trading knowledge base covering fundamentals, technicals, strategies, back测试, and risk management. Use when building trading 应用s, evaluating strategies, or making trading decisions.
Scalping
Hold: seconds to minutes
Goal: profit from tiny price movements
Pros: many opportunities, reduced exposure to big moves
Cons: high transaction costs, stressful, tiny profit per trade
Best for: highly liquid markets with tight spreads
Day Trading
Hold: minutes to hours (close all by market close)
Goal: profit from intraday price movements
Pros: no overnight risk, high profit potential per trade
Cons: high risk, emotional pressure, costs 添加 up
Best for: volatile stocks with clear intraday patterns
Swing Trading
Hold: days to months
Goal: catch short-to-intermediate moves
Pros: lower costs, more analysis time, less stressful
Cons: overnight risk, may miss long-term moves
Best for: trending markets with pullbacks
Position Trading
Hold: months to years
Goal: profit from major long-term trends
Pros: lowest costs, highest profit potential, most flexibility
Cons: cAPItal tied up, exposed to macro 事件
Best for: fundamentally strong companies in sector uptrends
Key 指标
P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings)
Formula: 分享 Price / Earnings Per 分享
S&P 500 average: ~30 (as of late 2025)
Low (<15): potentially undervalued or troubled
High (>30): potentially overvalued or high growth expected
Compare WITHIN same industry only
Forward P/E uses projected earnings; TrAIling P/E uses last 12 months
P/B Ratio (Price-to-Book)
Formula: 分享 Price / Book Value Per 分享
Book Value = total as设置s - intangible as设置s - liabilities
P/B < 1 = trading below as设置 value (potential bargAIn)
Most useful for cAPItal-heavy industries (banks, manufacturing)
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Formula: Total Liabilities / 分享holders' Equity
High = heavy debt reliance (risky in downturns)
Compare within industry — some sectors carry more debt naturally
Revenue Growth Rate
Year-over-year revenue increase
Consistent > spiky
Accelerating growth rate = strongest 签名al
Free Cash Flow (FCF)
Cash 生成d after cAPItal expenditures
Positive FCF = real cash generation, not accounting tricks
FCF Yield = FCF / Market Cap (higher = better value)
EPS Growth (Earnings Per 分享)
Consistent EPS growth over 3-5 years = strong 签名al
检查 质量: operations vs one-time 事件
Return on Equity (ROE)
Formula: Net Income / 分享holders' Equity
ROE > 15% = generally good management efficiency
Dividend Yield & Payout Ratio
Yield = Annual Dividend / 分享 Price
Payout = Dividends / Net Income
Payout > 80% may be unsustAInable
RSI (Relative Strength 索引)
Formula: RSI = 100 - (100 / (1 + (Avg GAIn / Avg Loss))) over 14 periods
扩展: 0-100
>70 = Overbought (potential sell)
<30 = Oversold (potential buy)
Strengths: Simple, effective in ranging markets
Weaknesses: Stays >70 for extended periods in strong uptrends — don't auto-sell
RSI Divergence: Price makes new high but RSI makes lower high = bearish (momentum weakening)
Swing Rejection: RSI crosses 30 upward → dips but stays above 30 → breaks prior high = bullish entry
Best in: Ranging/sideways markets. Combine with ADX to 过滤器.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
MACD Line = 12-period EMA - 26-period EMA
签名al Line = 9-period EMA of MACD Line
Histogram = MACD Line - 签名al Line
Buy: MACD crosses ABOVE 签名al line
Sell: MACD crosses BELOW 签名al line
Divergence: MACD rising while price falling = potential reversal
Strengths: Good trend-following indicator
Weaknesses: Lagging, many false positives in sideways markets
Best combined with ADX — only trust MACD 签名als when ADX > 25 (confirming trend)
Bollinger Bands
Middle Band = 20-day SMA
Upper Band = SMA + 2 standard deviations
Lower Band = SMA - 2 standard deviations
95% of price action stays within bands
Squeeze: Bands narrow → low volatility → breakout imminent (direction unknown)
Bollinger Bounce: Price off lower band toward middle = buy; off upper toward middle = sell
Breakout: Price outside bands with volume = trend continuation
Strengths: Visual, adapts to volatility
Weaknesses: Secondary indicator — always confirm with RSI/MACD
创建d by John Bollinger in the 1980s
Moving Averages
SMA (Simple): Equal weight all periods
EMA (Exponential): More weight on recent prices (faster reaction)
Key periods: 5, 9, 20, 50, 100, 200 day
Golden Cross: 50-day crosses ABOVE 200-day = strong bullish
Death Cross: 50-day crosses BELOW 200-day = strong bearish
MAs act as dynamic support/resistance levels
Use longer MAs for volatile stocks to avoid false 签名als
Volume
Confirms price movements
Price up + high volume = strong bullish
Price up + low volume = weak rally, likely to reverse
Price down + high volume = strong selling pressure
Price down + low volume = lack of selling conviction
60-80% of dAIly volume is algorithmic
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