Polymarket Copy Profit Taker Trader

Copy Profit Taker Trader

This is a template. The default 签名al 检测s whale profit-taking patterns (selling parts of winning positions) and 追踪s where the freed cAPItal rotates into new markets. The 技能 handles all the plumbing (leaderboard scrAPIng, activity fetching, position change analysis, rotation 检测ion, 签名al 验证). Your 代理 provides the alpha by tuning thresholds and rotation windows.

Strategy Overview

When a profitable whale 启动s reducing exposure in a winning position, the upside is likely exhausted. But the cAPItal doesn't dis应用ear -- it flows into new opportunities. This 技能 追踪s 机器人h sides of the equation:

Discover top wallets from the predicting.top leaderboard Fetch full recent trade activity for each wallet (buys AND sells) Analyze position changes: for each market, compute buy_total, sell_total, and sell_ratio Classify positions: TAKING_PROFIT (sell_ratio >= threshold), ACCUMULATING (low sell_ratio + recent buys), or HOLDING 检测 rotations: same wallet taking profit in market A AND accumulating in market B within the time window 验证 rotation tar获取s agAInst conviction-based thresholds with a rotation boost 执行 trades on rotation entry markets where direction aligns with base 签名al Fallback to standard conviction 签名als on accumulating markets not being exited The Edge: Profit-Taking as 签名al + Rotation 追踪ing Why Profit-Taking Matters

Whales don't sell winners randomly. When a top wallet that built a large position 启动s selling 30%+ of it, they're telling you the easy money is gone. Buying into markets where smart money is exiting is the most common retAIl mistake.

Why Rotation Matters

The cAPItal from exits has to go somewhere. When the same wallet sells market A and immediately buys market B, that's a rotation -- and the entry into market B carries the same in格式化ion edge that made market A profitable in the first place. Coordinated rotations (multiple whales doing the same) amplify the 签名al.

签名al 记录ic Leaderboard (top N wallets) | v Fetch full trade 历史 per wallet (buys + sells) | v Analyze position changes per market: - buy_total, sell_total, sell_ratio = sold/bought - Classify: TAKING_PROFIT / ACCUMULATING / HOLDING | v 检测 rotations: - Same wallet: TAKING_PROFIT in market A + ACCUMULATING in market B - Within ROTATION_WINDOW_HOURS - entry_conviction = new_position_size / exit_value | v For rotation entry tar获取s: - Match to Simmer market - compute_rotation_签名al: - Base 签名al must align with entry direction - rot_mult = 1 + min(0.4, conviction 0.3 + (whales-1) 0.1) - Size = max(MIN_TRADE, conviction MAX_POSITION) | v Fallback: standard compute_签名al on accumulating (non-exit) markets | v 执行 trades (paper by default)

Example 仪表盘s TAKE-PROFIT 仪表盘 ==================================================================== Wallet | Market | SellRatio | 状态 -------------------------------------------------------------------- 0xabc1234567.. | Will BTC hit $100k by July? | 42% | TAKING_PROFIT 0xdef8901234.. | Will ETH merge succeed? | 65% | TAKING_PROFIT

ROTATION 仪表盘 ==================================================================== Wallet | Exit Market | Entry Market | Side -------------------------------------------------------------------- 0xabc1234567.. | Will BTC hit $100k.. | Will SOL flip ETH.. | buy 0xdef8901234.. | Will ETH merge suc.. | Will DOGE reach $1.. | buy

Safety 防护 Default What it does Paper mode ON No --live flag = simulated trades, zero risk MAX_POSITION $40 Cap per-trade size MIN_TRADE $5 Floor 预防s trivially small orders MAX_POSITIONS 8 Portfolio-level position limit MAX_SPREAD 10% Skip illiquid markets MIN_DAYS 5 Skip markets resolving too soon MIN_VOLUME $3,000 Skip low-volume markets YES/NO thresholds 0.38/0.62 Only trade within conviction bands PROFIT_TAKE_THRESHOLD 30% Sell ratio required to classify as take-profit ROTATION_WINDOW_HOURS 48h Time window to 检测 exit+entry as rotation Exit market black列出 ON Never trades into markets whales are exiting 上下文_ok() ON 预防s exceeding max open positions 凭证s

Requires a valid SIMMER_API_KEY 环境 variable. No 添加itional API keys needed -- the 技能 uses public leaderboard and data APIs.

Tunables

All parameters are configurable via SIMMER_ 环境 variables and the Simmer UI:

Env Var Default Description SIMMER_MAX_POSITION 40 Max position size in USD SIMMER_MIN_TRADE 5 Min trade size in USD SIMMER_MIN_VOLUME 3000 Min market volume in USD SIMMER_MAX_SPREAD 0.10 Max bid-ask spread SIMMER_MIN_DAYS 5 Min days until resolution SIMMER_MAX_POSITIONS 8 Max open positions SIMMER_YES_THRESHOLD 0.38 YES threshold for conviction 过滤器 SIMMER_NO_THRESHOLD 0.62 NO threshold for conviction 过滤器 SIMMER_PROFIT_TAKE_